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How Autonomous Will Production Be in 2030?

How much autonomy does production tolerate? What are the opportunities and limits of artificial intelligence?

What can artificial intelligence do in the production of the future? Where does it make sense and where doesn’t it? If you believe the big buzzword hype around terms like Industry 4.0, the fate of factories is sealed: Artificial intelligence will take over and pull the strings.

Production Will Become Autonomous

This means that sooner or later, everything will be self-controlling – or maybe not?

For the correct answer to this question, we first need a closer understanding of the terms: And it’s not that easy for artificial intelligence, because there is no clear definition of it. Simply explained, artificial intelligence means “the attempt to transfer human learning and thinking to a computer and thereby give it intelligence. Instead of being programmed for every purpose, AI should be able to find answers and solve problems independently”.

What autonomous production means can be deduced a little from this. In fact, autonomous production goes far beyond highly automated processes and means production that controls itself, flexibly regulates and optimizes itself and is able to make decisions independently.

Consequently, if production is autonomous, it is strongly AI-driven. However: Completely or to what degree?

Where is artificial intelligence used today?

“Up to now, AI has only been used very selectively at the tool level,” Christoph Hildebrandt said, head of image processing and non-destructive testing technology in special-purpose machine manufacturing at Schaeffler. As a tool for what? Axel Lorenz, Head of Automation Systems at Siemens Digital Industries, specified: “For example, artificial intelligence is used today to create transparency and to make suggestions for humans to act. In the future, however, we will see a major step toward independent decisions in the development of AI applications in manufacturing. The degree of autonomy depends on the area of application. For example, this is different in the protection room, in tedious tasks that can result in errors, than in the use of AI for the faster development and scaling of innovative business ideas.”

And of course, the cost-effectiveness of autonomous systems is the decisive criterion in production for their implementation and use. Tim Foreman, European R&D Director at Omron Europe, sees enormous potential in intelligent process optimization and control: “Ideally, AI helps the user to identify and understand cause-effect relationships of undesirable deviations that negatively affect product quality. At the same time, AI can anticipate effects on product quality and even react in real time if necessary.” For this purpose, artificial intelligence can record very large amounts of data and process them into information. For Foreman, such optimization also has an impact on the qualification of employees. This is when sensors and automated visual tools help to improve quality at every step of the production process and thus train employees on the fly.

Incidentally, artificial intelligence is also economical when it comes to building bridges between technology islands, as Guido Bruch from robotics start-up VisCheck explains: “For example, between an old machine that has to be operated individually and a robot that could operate a machine mechanically but is ultimately ‘stupid’.”

Question To Industry Experts:  How Autonomous Will Production Be in 2030?

“In the future, products will only be produced on order. Independent production modules will provide skills and services in factory halls. A product knows its properties and the necessary steps for its production. It retrieves them from the modules as required. Coordination between product and machine takes place automatically. A product will seek its own way through production” – Prof. Dr. Martin Ruskowski, DFKI.

“Future AI robots will be able to control movements based on visual and tactile senses like humans do and automatically create optimized mounting methods based on knowledge of previous assembly work” – Tim Foreman, Omron Europe.

“First of all, we at Schaeffler expect increased tool prevalence. Self-optimizing cobot and driverless transport systems, camera-based automated surface checks as well as speech and text recognition will be used throughout production. Smart end-of-line systems will provide feedback for production control” – Christoph Hildebrandt, Schaeffler.

“New simulation capabilities, autonomous systems and cloud edge applications will significantly change the manufacturing industry. Future scenarios include completely self-orchestrating factories” – Axel Lorenz, Siemens.

“AI could get a boost if there were two-armed robots with hands as grippers. This would be devastating for the labor market, but AI would enable entirely new use cases” – Guido Bruch, VisCheck.

In the end, the application sets the tone. AI has to pay off. There will be no autonomous production for its own sake. But if AI pays off, it will more than ever shape the image of production of the future. To check out just where autonomous production is headed the upcoming Automatica exhibition will provide many of the answers and a glimpse into the future of production automation.